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The objective of this section is to present the best available data on a wide range of health and related indicators.  This should provide health planners and managers with easy access to data from a variety of sources.

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AIDS sick (number of people with AIDS-defining conditions)

DefinitionNumber of people estimated to be living with AIDS defining conditions.
Keywords
Indicator Type: -> Health Status -> HIV and AIDS

[Related Resources]

Indicator Data
View by [Ethnic] [Geographic (SA provinces)] [International] [District]

ECFSGPKZNLPMPNCNWWCZA
AIDS sick (number of people with AIDS-defining conditions) [Definition]
2000 ASSA2000 change/no change23 18817 10048 37779 23818 87324 1531 87819 3244 902[1] 236 228
2000 Metropolitan---------[2] 234 984
2004 ASSA2002---------[3] 525 000
2005 ASSA2000 change--------22 469[4] 860 850
2005 ASSA2000 no change100 82666 126199 745261 66076 41476 3249 58278 137-[5] 899 071
2005 Metropolitan---------[6] 623 067
2006 ASSA200364 09646 249156 328193 02839 47457 4705 38554 08319 736[7] 599 298
2007 ASSA200370 03148 392162 429200 62842 55959 0176 07557 71822 524[8] 633 931
2008 ASSA200375 30049 656165 632204 97645 22959 5816 78760 61825 499[9] 659 637
2009 ASSA200379 70550 111166 078206 29447 39059 3367 45962 63428 391[10] 676 058
2010 ASSA2000 change--------45 259[11] 1 278 030
2010 ASSA2000 no change193 811100 135299 723345 949137 283104 06019 091123 146-[12] 1 393 926
2010 ASSA2002---------[13] 693 000
2010 ASSA200384 99151 196171 133209 63850 27560 1078 09364 91631 338[14] 701 508
2010 Metropolitan---------[15] 903 925
2015 ASSA2000 change---------[16] 988 763
2015 ASSA2000 no change---------[17] 1 240 148
2015 ASSA2002---------[18] 742 000
2015 Metropolitan---------[19] 963 837
2020 Metropolitan---------[20] 963 538
EC: Eastern Cape  FS: Free State  GP: Gauteng  KZN: KwaZulu-Natal  LP: Limpopo  MP: Mpumalanga  NC: Northern Cape  NW: North West  WC: Western Cape  ZA: South Africa  

Notes and References

  1. ASSA 2000: Actuarial Projection of the Epidemic: Summary Statistics. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. Downloaded 14/10/2002. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/ The change scenario is included not so much because this is a likely scenario but in order to break away from the tradition of only showing what is expected to happen if nothing is done. It comprises the following assumptions: * no antiretroviral therapy * mother-to-child transmission intervention (phased in from 40% of births in the year starting 1 July 2001 to 90% in five years time, and assumed to 50% effective) * treatment of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) such that these are reduced by 15% phased in over the five years starting 1 July 2001 * a doubling in condom usage over the next five years * a decrease in the number of new sexual partners by 15% over the next five years. The provincial projection results are based on the assumption of no-change for all provinces except the Western Cape. In the case of the Western Cape a change scenario specific to that province has been incorporated to allow for the fact that the province has been intervening to prevent the spread of the epidemic.
    Local copy: -
  2. Metropolitan 2001: Kramer S. Mortality & Population: The Doyle Model. Metropolitan. 2001. (PowerPoint presentation and spreadsheet) skramer@metropolitan.co.za
    Local copy: -
  3. HIV Indicators 2004: Dorrington R, Bradshaw D, Johnson L, Budlender D. The Demographic Impact of HIV/AIDS in South Africa: National Indicators for 2004. Cape Town: Centre for Actuarial Research, South African Medical Research Council and Actuarial Society of SA; 2004. http://www.commerce.uct.ac.za/care/ ISBN: 1-920015-17-5
    Local copy: http://www.hst.org.za/indicators/HIV_AIDS/HIVIndicators_2004.pdf
  4. ASSA 2000: Actuarial Projection of the Epidemic: Summary Statistics. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. Downloaded 14/10/2002. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/ The change scenario is included not so much because this is a likely scenario but in order to break away from the tradition of only showing what is expected to happen if nothing is done. It comprises the following assumptions: * no antiretroviral therapy * mother-to-child transmission intervention (phased in from 40% of births in the year starting 1 July 2001 to 90% in five years time, and assumed to 50% effective) * treatment of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) such that these are reduced by 15% phased in over the five years starting 1 July 2001 * a doubling in condom usage over the next five years * a decrease in the number of new sexual partners by 15% over the next five years. The provincial projection results are based on the assumption of no-change for all provinces except the Western Cape. In the case of the Western Cape a change scenario specific to that province has been incorporated to allow for the fact that the province has been intervening to prevent the spread of the epidemic.
    Local copy: -
  5. ASSA 2000: Actuarial Projection of the Epidemic: Summary Statistics. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. Downloaded 14/10/2002. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/ The change scenario is included not so much because this is a likely scenario but in order to break away from the tradition of only showing what is expected to happen if nothing is done. It comprises the following assumptions: * no antiretroviral therapy * mother-to-child transmission intervention (phased in from 40% of births in the year starting 1 July 2001 to 90% in five years time, and assumed to 50% effective) * treatment of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) such that these are reduced by 15% phased in over the five years starting 1 July 2001 * a doubling in condom usage over the next five years * a decrease in the number of new sexual partners by 15% over the next five years. The provincial projection results are based on the assumption of no-change for all provinces except the Western Cape. In the case of the Western Cape a change scenario specific to that province has been incorporated to allow for the fact that the province has been intervening to prevent the spread of the epidemic.
    Local copy: -
  6. Metropolitan 2001: Kramer S. Mortality & Population: The Doyle Model. Metropolitan. 2001. (PowerPoint presentation and spreadsheet) skramer@metropolitan.co.za
    Local copy: -
  7. ASSA 2003: ASSA2003 Model: ProvOutput. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. [cited 2006 Jun 19]. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/
    Local copy: http://www.hst.org.za/indicators/HIV_AIDS/ASSA2003ProvOutput_051129.zip
    Downloaded 2006-06-19
  8. ASSA 2003: ASSA2003 Model: ProvOutput. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. [cited 2006 Jun 19]. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/
    Local copy: http://www.hst.org.za/indicators/HIV_AIDS/ASSA2003ProvOutput_051129.zip
    Downloaded 2006-06-19
  9. ASSA 2003: ASSA2003 Model: ProvOutput. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. [cited 2006 Jun 19]. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/
    Local copy: http://www.hst.org.za/indicators/HIV_AIDS/ASSA2003ProvOutput_051129.zip
  10. ASSA 2003: ASSA2003 Model: ProvOutput. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. [cited 2006 Jun 19]. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/
    Local copy: http://www.hst.org.za/indicators/HIV_AIDS/ASSA2003ProvOutput_051129.zip
  11. ASSA 2000: Actuarial Projection of the Epidemic: Summary Statistics. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. Downloaded 14/10/2002. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/ The change scenario is included not so much because this is a likely scenario but in order to break away from the tradition of only showing what is expected to happen if nothing is done. It comprises the following assumptions: * no antiretroviral therapy * mother-to-child transmission intervention (phased in from 40% of births in the year starting 1 July 2001 to 90% in five years time, and assumed to 50% effective) * treatment of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) such that these are reduced by 15% phased in over the five years starting 1 July 2001 * a doubling in condom usage over the next five years * a decrease in the number of new sexual partners by 15% over the next five years. The provincial projection results are based on the assumption of no-change for all provinces except the Western Cape. In the case of the Western Cape a change scenario specific to that province has been incorporated to allow for the fact that the province has been intervening to prevent the spread of the epidemic.
    Local copy: -
  12. ASSA 2000: Actuarial Projection of the Epidemic: Summary Statistics. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. Downloaded 14/10/2002. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/ The change scenario is included not so much because this is a likely scenario but in order to break away from the tradition of only showing what is expected to happen if nothing is done. It comprises the following assumptions: * no antiretroviral therapy * mother-to-child transmission intervention (phased in from 40% of births in the year starting 1 July 2001 to 90% in five years time, and assumed to 50% effective) * treatment of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) such that these are reduced by 15% phased in over the five years starting 1 July 2001 * a doubling in condom usage over the next five years * a decrease in the number of new sexual partners by 15% over the next five years. The provincial projection results are based on the assumption of no-change for all provinces except the Western Cape. In the case of the Western Cape a change scenario specific to that province has been incorporated to allow for the fact that the province has been intervening to prevent the spread of the epidemic.
    Local copy: -
  13. HIV Indicators 2004: Dorrington R, Bradshaw D, Johnson L, Budlender D. The Demographic Impact of HIV/AIDS in South Africa: National Indicators for 2004. Cape Town: Centre for Actuarial Research, South African Medical Research Council and Actuarial Society of SA; 2004. http://www.commerce.uct.ac.za/care/ ISBN: 1-920015-17-5
    Local copy: http://www.hst.org.za/indicators/HIV_AIDS/HIVIndicators_2004.pdf
  14. ASSA 2003: ASSA2003 Model: ProvOutput. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. [cited 2006 Jun 19]. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/
    Local copy: http://www.hst.org.za/indicators/HIV_AIDS/ASSA2003ProvOutput_051129.zip
  15. Metropolitan 2001: Kramer S. Mortality & Population: The Doyle Model. Metropolitan. 2001. (PowerPoint presentation and spreadsheet) skramer@metropolitan.co.za
    Local copy: -
  16. ASSA 2000: Actuarial Projection of the Epidemic: Summary Statistics. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. Downloaded 14/10/2002. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/ The change scenario is included not so much because this is a likely scenario but in order to break away from the tradition of only showing what is expected to happen if nothing is done. It comprises the following assumptions: * no antiretroviral therapy * mother-to-child transmission intervention (phased in from 40% of births in the year starting 1 July 2001 to 90% in five years time, and assumed to 50% effective) * treatment of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) such that these are reduced by 15% phased in over the five years starting 1 July 2001 * a doubling in condom usage over the next five years * a decrease in the number of new sexual partners by 15% over the next five years. The provincial projection results are based on the assumption of no-change for all provinces except the Western Cape. In the case of the Western Cape a change scenario specific to that province has been incorporated to allow for the fact that the province has been intervening to prevent the spread of the epidemic.
    Local copy: -
  17. ASSA 2000: Actuarial Projection of the Epidemic: Summary Statistics. AIDS Committee of Actuarial Society of South Africa. Downloaded 14/10/2002. http://www.actuarialsociety.co.za/aids/ The change scenario is included not so much because this is a likely scenario but in order to break away from the tradition of only showing what is expected to happen if nothing is done. It comprises the following assumptions: * no antiretroviral therapy * mother-to-child transmission intervention (phased in from 40% of births in the year starting 1 July 2001 to 90% in five years time, and assumed to 50% effective) * treatment of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) such that these are reduced by 15% phased in over the five years starting 1 July 2001 * a doubling in condom usage over the next five years * a decrease in the number of new sexual partners by 15% over the next five years. The provincial projection results are based on the assumption of no-change for all provinces except the Western Cape. In the case of the Western Cape a change scenario specific to that province has been incorporated to allow for the fact that the province has been intervening to prevent the spread of the epidemic.
    Local copy: -
  18. HIV Indicators 2004: Dorrington R, Bradshaw D, Johnson L, Budlender D. The Demographic Impact of HIV/AIDS in South Africa: National Indicators for 2004. Cape Town: Centre for Actuarial Research, South African Medical Research Council and Actuarial Society of SA; 2004. http://www.commerce.uct.ac.za/care/ ISBN: 1-920015-17-5
    Local copy: http://www.hst.org.za/indicators/HIV_AIDS/HIVIndicators_2004.pdf
  19. Metropolitan 2001: Kramer S. Mortality & Population: The Doyle Model. Metropolitan. 2001. (PowerPoint presentation and spreadsheet) skramer@metropolitan.co.za
    Local copy: -
  20. Metropolitan 2001: Kramer S. Mortality & Population: The Doyle Model. Metropolitan. 2001. (PowerPoint presentation and spreadsheet) skramer@metropolitan.co.za
    Local copy: -
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